Bonds Flying Roos · KXSAILGP-26
Bonds Flying Roos is priced at 59¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 51¢ bid, 55¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 13 inside KXSAILGP-26.
Price history
59¢ current
+8¢Contract brief
If Bonds Flying Roos wins the 2026 SailGP Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Bonds Flying Roos
Rank
#1 of 13
Leader
Bonds Flying Roos 51¢
Range
1¢-51¢
Family volume
$388
Identifier
KXSAILGP-26-AUS
Sep 18, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC · 22m ago
Implied probability
Bid
51¢
Ask
55¢
Spread
4¢
Reported volume
$7K
Family rank
#1 of 13
13 outcomes · KXSAILGP-26
Closes
Dec 21, 2026
Family volume
$388
Orderbook snapshot
51 / 55¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Bonds Flying Roos wins the 2026 SailGP Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 21, 2026
Identifier
KXSAILGP-26-AUS
Event family
KXSAILGP-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$388
Outcomes
13
Highest price
Bonds Flying Roos 51¢
Current share
0%
Bonds Flying Roos
kalshi · KXSAILGP-26-AUS
Los Gallos
kalshi · KXSAILGP-26-ESP
Artemis SailGP Team
kalshi · KXSAILGP-26-ART
Emirates GBR
kalshi · KXSAILGP-26-GBR
United States SailGP Team
kalshi · KXSAILGP-26-USA
Switzerland SailGP Team
kalshi · KXSAILGP-26-SUI
Mubadala Brazil
kalshi · KXSAILGP-26-BRA
NorthStar Canada
kalshi · KXSAILGP-26-CAN
Rockwool Racing
kalshi · KXSAILGP-26-DEN
France SailGP Team
kalshi · KXSAILGP-26-FRA
Germany SailGP Team
kalshi · KXSAILGP-26-GER
Red Bull Italy
kalshi · KXSAILGP-26-ITA
Black Foils
kalshi · KXSAILGP-26-NZL
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
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Event Probability API
Read 59% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.