Miami · Will Boston be scheduled to play against
Miami is priced at 21¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 11¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 5 inside Will Boston be scheduled to play against.
Price history
21¢ current
+10¢Contract brief
If the Boston Pro Basketball team is scheduled to play against Miami in their first game of the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Miami
Rank
#3 of 5
Leader
Detroit 55¢
Range
1¢-55¢
Family volume
$366
Identifier
KXNBAFIRSTOPPONENT-26BOS-MIA
Aug 9, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 22m ago
Implied probability
Bid
3¢
Ask
11¢
Spread
8¢
Reported volume
$136
Family rank
#3 of 5
5 outcomes · Will Boston be scheduled to play against
Closes
Nov 15, 2026
Family volume
$366
Orderbook snapshot
3 / 11¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Boston Pro Basketball team is scheduled to play against Miami in their first game of the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 15, 2026
Identifier
KXNBAFIRSTOPPONENT-26BOS-MIA
Event family
Will Boston be scheduled to play against.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$366
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Detroit 55¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.