Brahim Diaz · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26MAR
Brahim Diaz is priced at 28¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 15¢ bid, 69¢ ask, 54¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26MAR.
Price history
28¢ current
+25¢Contract brief
If Brahim Diaz scores a goal during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Brahim Diaz
Rank
#1 of 16
Leader
Brahim Diaz 15¢
Range
3¢-15¢
Family volume
$22
Identifier
KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26MAR-BDIAZ21
Jul 8, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 9m ago
Implied probability
Bid
15¢
Ask
69¢
Spread
54¢
24h volume
$17
Family rank
#1 of 16
16 outcomes · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26MAR
Closes
Jul 27, 2026
Family volume
$22
Orderbook snapshot
15 / 69¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Brahim Diaz scores a goal during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 27, 2026
Identifier
KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26MAR-BDIAZ21
Event family
KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26MAR.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$22
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Brahim Diaz 15¢
Current share
77%
Brahim Diaz
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26MAR-BDIAZ21
Sofyan Amrabat
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26MAR-SAMRAB34
Ayoube Amaimouni Echghouyab
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26MAR-AAMAIM29
Ayyoub Bouaddi
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26MAR-ABOUAD32
Ayoub El Kaabi
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26MAR-AELKA9
Abde Ezzalzouli
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26MAR-AEZZAL10
Anass Salah-Eddine
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26MAR-ASALAH34
Bilal El Khannouss
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26MAR-BELKH11
Chadi Riad
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26MAR-CRIAD34
Chemsdine Talbi
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26MAR-CTALBI7
Nayef Aguerd
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26MAR-NAGUER21
Neil El Aynaoui
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26MAR-NELAY8
Noussair Mazraoui
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26MAR-NMAZRA3
Redouane Halhal
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26MAR-RHALHA25
Samir El Mourabet
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26MAR-SELMO29
Youssef Belammari
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26MAR-YBELAM19
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.