SimpleFunctions

Brandon Miller · KXBBALLTEAMUSA-28

Brandon Miller is priced at 12¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 13¢ bid, 17¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #14 of 16 inside KXBBALLTEAMUSA-28.

Price history

12¢ current

+11¢
0¢10¢
Jun 17, 2026Jul 10, 2026

Contract brief

If Brandon Miller is selected to the USA Men's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Brandon Miller

Rank

#14 of 16

Leader

Cade Cunningham 91¢

Range

8¢-91¢

Family volume

$73

Identifier

KXBBALLTEAMUSA-28-BMILLER24

Jul 13, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC · 3m ago

Implied probability

12¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 13, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC · 3m ago

Bid

13¢

Ask

17¢

Spread

Reported volume

$533

Family rank

#14 of 16

16 outcomes · KXBBALLTEAMUSA-28

Closes

Jul 31, 2028

Family volume

$73

Orderbook snapshot

13 / 17¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
13¢5
12¢50
11¢250
AskSize
17¢250
21¢1
66¢428
67¢50
83¢4

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Brandon Miller is selected to the USA Men's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 31, 2028

Identifier

KXBBALLTEAMUSA-28-BMILLER24

SF Signal
SF Index
163.06
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

326.1%

IY (No)

7.3%

Adj IY

163%

CRI

7

Overround

11.9%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

326.1%
7.3%
Adj IY
163%
7
Overround
11.9%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.