Brent Crude Oil · KXWTIVSBRENT-26DEC31
Brent Crude Oil is priced at 74¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 74¢ bid, 88¢ ask, 14¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXWTIVSBRENT-26DEC31.
Price history
74¢ current
+43¢Contract brief
If Brent Crude Oil performs above WTI Crude Oil for the period of 2026 by 0.001% rounded to the nearest 3rd then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Brent Crude Oil
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Brent Crude Oil 74¢
Range
25¢-74¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXWTIVSBRENT-26DEC31-BRENT
Jun 5, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC · 4m ago
Implied probability
Bid
74¢
Ask
88¢
Spread
14¢
Reported volume
$7K
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · KXWTIVSBRENT-26DEC31
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
74 / 88¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Brent Crude Oil performs above WTI Crude Oil for the period of 2026 by 0.001% rounded to the nearest 3rd then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXWTIVSBRENT-26DEC31-BRENT
Event family
KXWTIVSBRENT-26DEC31.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Brent Crude Oil 74¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
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Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
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Event Probability API
Read 74% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.