WTI Crude Oil · KXWTIVSBRENT-26DEC31
WTI Crude Oil is priced at 11¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 11¢ bid, 35¢ ask, 24¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXWTIVSBRENT-26DEC31.
Price history
11¢ current
−22¢Contract brief
If WTI Crude Oil performs above Brent Crude Oil for the period of 2026 by 0.001% rounded to the nearest 3rd then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
WTI Crude Oil
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
Brent Crude Oil 80¢
Range
11¢-80¢
Family volume
$5
Identifier
KXWTIVSBRENT-26DEC31-WTI
Jun 22, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 29m ago
Implied probability
Bid
11¢
Ask
35¢
Spread
24¢
24h volume
$3
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · KXWTIVSBRENT-26DEC31
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$5
Orderbook snapshot
11 / 35¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If WTI Crude Oil performs above Brent Crude Oil for the period of 2026 by 0.001% rounded to the nearest 3rd then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXWTIVSBRENT-26DEC31-WTI
Event family
KXWTIVSBRENT-26DEC31.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$5
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Brent Crude Oil 80¢
Current share
60%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
financial
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.