Will Bruno Mars be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 7% probability that Will Bruno Mars be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date .... This contract trades at 7¢ on Kalshi, closing December 31, 2026. This market is pricing Bruno Mars at just 7 cents with an extreme 1,878% implied yield on the Yes side, reflecting the very specific requirement of him landing exactly #2 (not #1 or #3) among global artists on 2026 Wrapped.
Analysis
This market is pricing Bruno Mars at just 7 cents with an extreme 1,878% implied yield on the Yes side, reflecting the very specific requirement of him landing exactly #2 (not #1 or #3) among global artists on 2026 Wrapped. The zero 24-hour volume and tight $830 open interest suggest minimal liquidity, making the quoted price potentially unreliable and vulnerable to slippage. With 258 days to expiry and a neutral regime, this appears to be a niche novelty bet where the low probability may be justified by the narrow targeting, though the massive yield discrepancy warrants caution about market depth.
Resolution rules
If Bruno Mars is the #2 most streamed Artist on Spotify's 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXTOPARTISTRUNNERUP-26-BRUN yes 100