BTC trimmed mean below $55000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026
Below $55,000.00 is priced at 16¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 13¢ bid, 14¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside Will BTC trimmed mean be below $5.
Price history
16¢ current
+15¢Contract brief
If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026 is ever below $55000.00, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Below $55,000.00
Rank
#2 of 3
Leader
Below $57,500.00 38¢
Range
6¢-38¢
Family volume
$75K
Identifier
KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26JUN30-5500000
Jun 24, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 6m ago
Implied probability
Bid
13¢
Ask
14¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$21K
Family rank
#2 of 3
3 outcomes · Will BTC trimmed mean be below $5
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Family volume
$75K
Orderbook snapshot
13 / 14¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026 is ever below $55000.00, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Identifier
KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26JUN30-5500000
Event family
Will BTC trimmed mean be below $5.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$75K
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Below $57,500.00 38¢
Current share
28%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
financial
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.