SimpleFunctions

Bucky Irving · KXNFLSEASONRSHYDS-27C750

Bucky Irving is priced at 93¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 91¢ bid, 97¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 16 inside KXNFLSEASONRSHYDS-27C750.

Price history

93¢ current

+43¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
Sep 9, 2026Oct 10, 2026

Contract brief

If Bucky Irving records 750+ rushing yards during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Bucky Irving

Rank

#3 of 16

Leader

Kenneth Walker III 93¢

Range

1¢-93¢

Family volume

$1K

Identifier

KXNFLSEASONRSHYDS-27C750-BIRVING7

Oct 10, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · 51m ago

Implied probability

93¢
Latest venue quote
Oct 10, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · 51m ago

Bid

91¢

Ask

97¢

Spread

6¢

24h volume

$1K

Family rank

#3 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNFLSEASONRSHYDS-27C750

Closes

Feb 2, 2027

Family volume

$1K

Orderbook snapshot

91 / 97¢

Kalshi
6¢ spread
BidSize
91¢2.1K
76¢90
75¢25
44¢1.6K
43¢114
AskSize
97¢5
98¢400
99¢500

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Bucky Irving records 750+ rushing yards during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 2, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLSEASONRSHYDS-27C750-BIRVING7

SF Signal
SF Index
1605.26
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

31.4%

IY (No)

3210.5%

Adj IY

1605%

CRI

10

Overround

11.3%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

31.4%
3210.5%
Adj IY
1605%
10
Overround
11.3%

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.