Will Buffalo win the Pro Football AFC East Division?
Prediction markets currently give a 56% probability that Will Buffalo win the Pro Football AFC East Division?. This contract trades at 56¢ on Kalshi, closing January 25, 2027. Buffalo's AFC East championship odds are priced at 56¢, implying a slight favorite status, but the market shows extreme volatility with 402% realized volatility and a vol ratio of 3.75, suggesting significant uncertainty despite the relatively tight 2¢ spread.
Analysis
Buffalo's AFC East championship odds are priced at 56¢, implying a slight favorite status, but the market shows extreme volatility with 402% realized volatility and a vol ratio of 3.75, suggesting significant uncertainty despite the relatively tight 2¢ spread. The 157.3% implied yield on the "No" side is notably high compared to the 105.3% "Yes" yield, indicating the market may be pricing in substantial risk premium for an upset, though the low 24-hour volume of $40.84 raises liquidity concerns for a market with $16,828.84 open interest. With 284 days to expiry and a modest 7-day price movement from 52¢ to 55¢, this appears to be a speculative positioning rather than a reaction to breaking news.
Resolution rules
If Buffalo wins the Pro Football AFC East Division, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNFLAFCEAST-27-BUF yes 100