Cailee Spaeny · KXEMMYLSACTR-26SEP14
Cailee Spaeny is priced at 40¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 36¢ bid, 40¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 7 inside KXEMMYLSACTR-26SEP14.
Price history
40¢ current
+9¢Contract brief
If Cailee Spaeny has won Outstanding Supporting Actress In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Cailee Spaeny
Rank
#1 of 7
Leader
Cailee Spaeny 35¢
Range
2¢-35¢
Family volume
$36
Identifier
KXEMMYLSACTR-26SEP14-CAI
Jun 22, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC · 16m ago
Implied probability
Bid
36¢
Ask
40¢
Spread
4¢
24h volume
$36
Family rank
#1 of 7
7 outcomes · KXEMMYLSACTR-26SEP14
Closes
Sep 14, 2027
Family volume
$36
Orderbook snapshot
36 / 40¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Cailee Spaeny has won Outstanding Supporting Actress In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 14, 2027
Identifier
KXEMMYLSACTR-26SEP14-CAI
Event family
KXEMMYLSACTR-26SEP14.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$36
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Cailee Spaeny 35¢
Current share
100%
Cailee Spaeny
kalshi · KXEMMYLSACTR-26SEP14-CAI
Grace Gummer
kalshi · KXEMMYLSACTR-26SEP14-GRA
Yuh-Jung Youn
kalshi · KXEMMYLSACTR-26SEP14-YUH
Dakota Fanning
kalshi · KXEMMYLSACTR-26SEP14-DAK
Tie
kalshi · KXEMMYLSACTR-26SEP14-TIE
Naomi Watts
kalshi · KXEMMYLSACTR-26SEP14-NAO
Laurie Metcalf
kalshi · KXEMMYLSACTR-26SEP14-LAU
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.