Yuh-Jung Youn · KXEMMYLSACTR-26SEP14
Yuh-Jung Youn is priced at 13¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 13¢ bid, 21¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 8 inside KXEMMYLSACTR-26SEP14.
Price history
13¢ current
−2¢Contract brief
If Yuh-Jung Youn has won Outstanding Supporting Actress In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Yuh-Jung Youn
Rank
#3 of 8
Leader
Cailee Spaeny 31¢
Range
1¢-31¢
Family volume
$599
Identifier
KXEMMYLSACTR-26SEP14-YUH
Jun 25, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 10m ago
Implied probability
Bid
13¢
Ask
21¢
Spread
8¢
24h volume
$24
Family rank
#3 of 8
8 outcomes · KXEMMYLSACTR-26SEP14
Closes
Sep 14, 2027
Family volume
$599
Orderbook snapshot
13 / 21¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Yuh-Jung Youn has won Outstanding Supporting Actress In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 14, 2027
Identifier
KXEMMYLSACTR-26SEP14-YUH
Event family
KXEMMYLSACTR-26SEP14.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$599
Outcomes
8
Highest price
Cailee Spaeny 31¢
Current share
4%
Cailee Spaeny
kalshi · KXEMMYLSACTR-26SEP14-CAI
Grace Gummer
kalshi · KXEMMYLSACTR-26SEP14-GRA
Yuh-Jung Youn
kalshi · KXEMMYLSACTR-26SEP14-YUH
Constance Zimmer
kalshi · KXEMMYLSACTR-26SEP14-CON
Tie
kalshi · KXEMMYLSACTR-26SEP14-TIE
Dakota Fanning
kalshi · KXEMMYLSACTR-26SEP14-DAK
Laurie Metcalf
kalshi · KXEMMYLSACTR-26SEP14-LAU
Naomi Watts
kalshi · KXEMMYLSACTR-26SEP14-NAO
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 13% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.