SimpleFunctions

Caitlin Clark · KXLEADERWNBAAST-26

Caitlin Clark is priced at 61¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 60¢ bid, 62¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 15 inside KXLEADERWNBAAST-26.

Price history

61¢ current

+40¢
25¢50¢75¢
Aug 6, 2026Sep 5, 2026

Contract brief

If Caitlin Clark leads Women's Pro Basketball in assists per game for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Caitlin Clark

Rank

#1 of 15

Leader

Caitlin Clark 60¢

Range

1¢-60¢

Family volume

$655

Identifier

KXLEADERWNBAAST-26-CCLARK22

Sep 5, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 23m ago

Implied probability

61¢
Latest venue quote
Sep 5, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 23m ago

Bid

60¢

Ask

62¢

Spread

24h volume

$556

Family rank

#1 of 15

15 outcomes · KXLEADERWNBAAST-26

Closes

Nov 8, 2026

Family volume

$655

Orderbook snapshot

60 / 62¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
60¢23
59¢9
56¢152
44¢516
43¢100
AskSize
62¢115
65¢100
69¢25
70¢903
73¢97

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Caitlin Clark leads Women's Pro Basketball in assists per game for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 8, 2026

Identifier

KXLEADERWNBAAST-26-CCLARK22

SF Signal
SF Index
851.66
Regime
taker

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

378.5%

IY (No)

851.7%

Adj IY

852%

CRI

2

RV

306%

VR

1.47

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

378.5%
851.7%
Adj IY
852%
2
RV
306%
VR
1.47
IAR
0.8/h
Overround
0.6%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.