CAVA Group Inc. report Above 488 total restaurants in Q3 2026
Above 488 is priced at 76¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 73¢ bid, 80¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 9 inside Will CAVA Group Inc. report Above 4.
Price history
76¢ current
−3¢Contract brief
If CAVA Group Inc. reports Above 488 total restaurants in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 488
Rank
#6 of 9
Leader
Above 478 96¢
Range
17¢-96¢
Family volume
$200
Identifier
KXCAVA-26NOVREST-488
Aug 3, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 9m ago
Implied probability
Bid
73¢
Ask
80¢
Spread
7¢
24h volume
$200
Family rank
#6 of 9
9 outcomes · Will CAVA Group Inc. report Above 4
Closes
Mar 10, 2027
Family volume
$200
Orderbook snapshot
73 / 80¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If CAVA Group Inc. reports Above 488 total restaurants in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Mar 10, 2027
Identifier
KXCAVA-26NOVREST-488
Event family
Will CAVA Group Inc. report Above 4.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$200
Outcomes
9
Highest price
Above 478 96¢
Current share
100%
Above 478
kalshi · KXCAVA-26NOVREST-478
Above 480
kalshi · KXCAVA-26NOVREST-480
Above 482
kalshi · KXCAVA-26NOVREST-482
Above 484
kalshi · KXCAVA-26NOVREST-484
Above 486
kalshi · KXCAVA-26NOVREST-486
Above 488
kalshi · KXCAVA-26NOVREST-488
Above 490
kalshi · KXCAVA-26NOVREST-490
Above 492
kalshi · KXCAVA-26NOVREST-492
Above 494
kalshi · KXCAVA-26NOVREST-494
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.