SimpleFunctions

CAVA Group Inc. report Above 6% same restaurant sales growth in Q2 2026

Above 6% is priced at 80¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 77¢ bid, 85¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 6 inside Will CAVA Group Inc. report Above.

Price history

80¢ current

+78¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
May 28, 2026Jun 23, 2026

Contract brief

If CAVA Group Inc. reports Above 6.0 same restaurant sales growth in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 6%

Rank

#3 of 6

Leader

Above 3% 89¢

Range

25¢-89¢

Family volume

$80

Identifier

KXCAVA-26AUGCOMP-6.0

Jun 23, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 19m ago

Implied probability

80¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 23, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 19m ago

Bid

77¢

Ask

85¢

Spread

Reported volume

$610

Family rank

#3 of 6

6 outcomes · Will CAVA Group Inc. report Above

Closes

Sep 10, 2026

Family volume

$80

Orderbook snapshot

77 / 85¢

Kalshi
8¢ spread
BidSize
100¢50
77¢200
37¢308
35¢300
AskSize
85¢200
98¢300
99¢100

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If CAVA Group Inc. reports Above 6.0 same restaurant sales growth in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 10, 2026

Identifier

KXCAVA-26AUGCOMP-6.0

SF Signal
SF Index
772.02
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will CAVA Group Inc. report Above.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$80

Outcomes

6

Highest price

Above 3% 89¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

137.8%

IY (No)

1544.0%

Adj IY

772%

CRI

3

Overround

2.8%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

137.8%
1544.0%
Adj IY
772%
3
Overround
2.8%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.