Chaney Mosley · KXTNPRIMARY-06D26
Chaney Mosley is priced at 45¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 38¢ bid, 44¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 6 inside KXTNPRIMARY-06D26.
Price history
45¢ current
+8¢Contract brief
If Chaney Mosley wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 TN-06 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Chaney Mosley
Rank
#2 of 6
Leader
Lore Bergman 53¢
Range
1¢-53¢
Family volume
$7
Identifier
KXTNPRIMARY-06D26-CMOS
Jul 13, 2026, 1:08 PM UTC · 16m ago
Implied probability
Bid
38¢
Ask
44¢
Spread
6¢
Reported volume
$3K
Family rank
#2 of 6
6 outcomes · KXTNPRIMARY-06D26
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$7
Orderbook snapshot
38 / 44¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Chaney Mosley wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 TN-06 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXTNPRIMARY-06D26-CMOS
Event family
KXTNPRIMARY-06D26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$7
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Lore Bergman 53¢
Current share
0%
Lore Bergman
kalshi · KXTNPRIMARY-06D26-LBER
Chaney Mosley
kalshi · KXTNPRIMARY-06D26-CMOS
Megan Barry
kalshi · KXTNPRIMARY-06D26-MBAR
Christopher Martin Finley
kalshi · KXTNPRIMARY-06D26-CFIN
Mike Croley
kalshi · KXTNPRIMARY-06D26-MCRO
Miriam Leibowitz
kalshi · KXTNPRIMARY-06D26-MLEI
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.