Chelsea · KXEPLTOP-27TOP4
Chelsea is priced at 57¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 54¢ bid, 57¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 16 inside KXEPLTOP-27TOP4.
Price history
57¢ current
+12¢Contract brief
If Chelsea is a top 4 finisher in the 2026-27 EPL season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Chelsea
Rank
#4 of 16
Leader
Arsenal 88¢
Range
1¢-88¢
Family volume
$788
Identifier
KXEPLTOP-27TOP4-CFC
Aug 14, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 42m ago
Implied probability
Bid
54¢
Ask
57¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$545
Family rank
#4 of 16
16 outcomes · KXEPLTOP-27TOP4
Closes
Jun 14, 2027
Family volume
$788
Orderbook snapshot
54 / 57¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Chelsea is a top 4 finisher in the 2026-27 EPL season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 14, 2027
Identifier
KXEPLTOP-27TOP4-CFC
Event family
KXEPLTOP-27TOP4.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$788
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Arsenal 88¢
Current share
48%
Arsenal
kalshi · KXEPLTOP-27TOP4-ARS
Manchester City
kalshi · KXEPLTOP-27TOP4-MCI
Liverpool
kalshi · KXEPLTOP-27TOP4-LFC
Chelsea
kalshi · KXEPLTOP-27TOP4-CFC
Manchester United
kalshi · KXEPLTOP-27TOP4-MUN
Tottenham
kalshi · KXEPLTOP-27TOP4-TOT
Aston Villa
kalshi · KXEPLTOP-27TOP4-AVL
Brighton
kalshi · KXEPLTOP-27TOP4-BRI
Hull City
kalshi · KXEPLTOP-27TOP4-HUL
Brentford
kalshi · KXEPLTOP-27TOP4-BRE
Everton
kalshi · KXEPLTOP-27TOP4-EVE
Crystal Palace
kalshi · KXEPLTOP-27TOP4-CRY
Fulham
kalshi · KXEPLTOP-27TOP4-FUL
Ipswich Town
kalshi · KXEPLTOP-27TOP4-IPS
Coventry City
kalshi · KXEPLTOP-27TOP4-COV
Leeds United
kalshi · KXEPLTOP-27TOP4-LEE
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 57% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.