Chicago · KXNBASUMMERGAME-26JUL10CHIMEM
Chicago is priced at 40¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 13¢ bid, 40¢ ask, 27¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXNBASUMMERGAME-26JUL10CHIMEM.
Price history
40¢ current
+37¢Contract brief
If Chicago wins the Chicago vs Memphis Pro Basketball Summer League game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Chicago
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Chicago 15¢
Range
11¢-15¢
Family volume
$357
Identifier
KXNBASUMMERGAME-26JUL10CHIMEM-CHI
Jul 9, 2026, 8:38 AM UTC · 2h ago
Implied probability
Bid
13¢
Ask
40¢
Spread
27¢
24h volume
$354
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · KXNBASUMMERGAME-26JUL10CHIMEM
Closes
Jul 25, 2026
Family volume
$357
Orderbook snapshot
13 / 40¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Chicago wins the Chicago vs Memphis Pro Basketball Summer League game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 25, 2026
Identifier
KXNBASUMMERGAME-26JUL10CHIMEM-CHI
Event family
KXNBASUMMERGAME-26JUL10CHIMEM.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$357
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Chicago 15¢
Current share
99%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.