SimpleFunctions
KalshiNov 8, 2026180 days left

Will Chicago WS win at least 70 games this season?

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 11 May 2026Methodology

This contract is priced at 58¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 65¢ bid, 68¢ ask, 3¢ spread.

Implied probability

58¢
$21K volume
$18K liquidity
2095% of event volume

Event outcomes

7

Family volume

$1K

Best sibling

75+ wins 42¢

Ticker

KXMLBWINS-CWS-26-T70

Market snapshot

70+ wins in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Chicago WS win at least 70 games this season?. The displayed quote is 58¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $1K. In the Will Chicago WS win at least family, this outcome ranks #6 of 7 by current quote across 7 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 9:23 PM UTC.

Outcome

70+ wins

Family rank

#6 of 7

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

58¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Nov 8, 2026

24h volume

$1K

Family context

7 outcomes · Will Chicago WS win at least

Quote range

42¢-99¢

Family leader

45+ wins 99¢

Last updated

May 11, 2026, 9:23 PM UTC · 5m ago

Venue identifier: KXMLBWINS-CWS-26-T70. Family volume: $1K.

Price history

58¢ current

+21¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 11, 2026May 11, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

65 / 68¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
65¢500
64¢504
58¢984
54¢6
48¢24
AskSize
68¢500
69¢541
71¢500
75¢2
77¢25

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Chicago WS has 70+ wins in the 2026 pro baseball team regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 8, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBWINS-CWS-26-T70

SF Signal
SF Index
347.10
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will Chicago WS win at least.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$1K

Outcomes

7

Highest price

45+ wins 99¢

Current share

100%

Browse this series

MLB Team Season Win Total Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXMLBWINS series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

109.0%

IY (No)

376.0%

Adj IY

347%

CRI

2

RV

207%

VR

1.77

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

109.0%
376.0%
Adj IY
347%
2
RV
207%
VR
1.77
IAR
0.3/h
Overround
2.8%
LAS
0.08

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.