SimpleFunctions

Chick-fil-A Monthly Credit Card Spend for August 2026 above 102

Above 102 is priced at 70¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 69¢ bid, 70¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 11 inside Will Chick-fil-A Monthly Credit Card Spend for August 2026 be above 1.

Price history

70¢ current

+19¢
50¢75¢
Aug 4, 2026Aug 6, 2026

Contract brief

If the Carbon Arc Chick-fil-A Monthly Credit Card Spend (August 2026) for August 2026 is above 102, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 102

Rank

#2 of 11

Leader

Above 101 76¢

Range

2¢-76¢

Family volume

$696

Identifier

KXCFILCC-26SEP07-T102

Aug 7, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 5m ago

Implied probability

70¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 7, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 5m ago

Bid

69¢

Ask

70¢

Spread

24h volume

$25

Family rank

#2 of 11

11 outcomes · Will Chick-fil-A Monthly Credit Card Spend for August 2026 be above 1

Closes

Sep 7, 2026

Family volume

$696

Orderbook snapshot

69 / 70¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
69¢711
68¢100
66¢200
44¢200
14¢2.4K
AskSize
70¢77
71¢1.9K
74¢200
93¢1.9K
94¢51

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Carbon Arc Chick-fil-A Monthly Credit Card Spend (August 2026) for August 2026 is above 102, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 7, 2026

Identifier

KXCFILCC-26SEP07-T102

SF Signal
SF Index
1336.70
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

539.6%

IY (No)

2673.4%

Adj IY

1337%

CRI

2

Overround

2.3%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

539.6%
2673.4%
Adj IY
1337%
2
Overround
2.3%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.