Will Choosin' Texas be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 11, 2026: Choosin' Texas · KXTOPSONG-26JUL11
Will Choosin' Texas be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 11, 2026: Choosin' Texas is priced at 90¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 76¢ bid, 89¢ ask, 13¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside KXTOPSONG-26JUL11.
Price history
90¢ current
+87¢Contract brief
If Choosin' Texas is #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jul 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will Choosin' Texas be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 11, 2026: Choosin' Texas
Rank
#1 of 16
Leader
Will Choosin' Texas be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 11, 2026: Choosin' Texas 76¢
Range
1¢-76¢
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
KXTOPSONG-26JUL11-CHO
Jun 25, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 14m ago
Implied probability
Bid
76¢
Ask
89¢
Spread
13¢
24h volume
$6
Family rank
#1 of 16
16 outcomes · KXTOPSONG-26JUL11
Closes
Jul 6, 2026
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
76 / 89¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Choosin' Texas is #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jul 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 6, 2026
Identifier
KXTOPSONG-26JUL11-CHO
Event family
KXTOPSONG-26JUL11.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Will Choosin' Texas be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 11, 2026: Choosin' Texas 76¢
Current share
1%
Will Choosin' Texas be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 11, 2026: Choosin' Texas
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Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.