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Will Choosin' Texas be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 11, 2026: Choosin' Texas · KXTOPSONG-26JUL11

Will Choosin' Texas be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 11, 2026: Choosin' Texas is priced at 90¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 76¢ bid, 89¢ ask, 13¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside KXTOPSONG-26JUL11.

Price history

90¢ current

+87¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
Jun 24, 2026Jun 25, 2026

Contract brief

If Choosin' Texas is #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jul 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Will Choosin' Texas be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 11, 2026: Choosin' Texas

Rank

#1 of 16

Leader

Will Choosin' Texas be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 11, 2026: Choosin' Texas 76¢

Range

1¢-76¢

Family volume

$1K

Identifier

KXTOPSONG-26JUL11-CHO

Jun 25, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 14m ago

Implied probability

90¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 25, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 14m ago

Bid

76¢

Ask

89¢

Spread

13¢

24h volume

$6

Family rank

#1 of 16

16 outcomes · KXTOPSONG-26JUL11

Closes

Jul 6, 2026

Family volume

$1K

Orderbook snapshot

76 / 89¢

Kalshi
13¢ spread
BidSize
76¢300
75¢400
26¢1.3K
25¢400
2¢1.2K
AskSize
89¢5
90¢43
92¢63
94¢95
95¢134

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Choosin' Texas is #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jul 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 6, 2026

Identifier

KXTOPSONG-26JUL11-CHO

SF Signal
SF Index
4657.61
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXTOPSONG-26JUL11.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$1K

Outcomes

16

Highest price

Will Choosin' Texas be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 11, 2026: Choosin' Texas 76¢

Current share

1%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Will Choosin' Texas be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 11, 2026: Choosin' Texas

kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26JUL11-CHO

76¢
$6$60.2

Will stupid song be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 11, 2026: stupid song

kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26JUL11-STU

5¢
$210$210

Will EARRINGS be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 11, 2026: EARRINGS

kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26JUL11-EAR

2¢
$0$0

Will Billie Jean be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 11, 2026: Billie Jean

kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26JUL11-BIL

1¢
$116$116

Will Boston be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 11, 2026: Boston

kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26JUL11-BOS

1¢
$116$116

Will drop dead be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 11, 2026: drop dead

kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26JUL11-DRO

1¢
$116$116

Will hate that i made you love me be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 11, 2026: hate that i made you love me

kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26JUL11-HAT

1¢
$116$116

Will I CAN'T LOVE YOU ANYMORE be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 11, 2026: I CAN'T LOVE YOU ANYMORE

kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26JUL11-ICA

1¢
$116$116

Will Shabang be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 11, 2026: Shabang

kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26JUL11-SHA

1¢
$116$116

Will the cure be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 11, 2026: the cure

kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26JUL11-THE

1¢
$116$116

Will I Knew It, I Knew You be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 11, 2026: I Knew It, I Knew You

kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26JUL11-IKN

1¢
$20$20

Will begged be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 11, 2026: begged

kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26JUL11-BEG

1¢
$0$0

Will BE HER be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 11, 2026: BE HER

kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26JUL11-BEH

1¢
$0$0

Will expectations be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 11, 2026: expectations

kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26JUL11-EXP

1¢
$0$0

Will honeybee be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 11, 2026: honeybee

kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26JUL11-HON

1¢
$0$0

Will I Just Might be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 11, 2026: I Just Might

kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26JUL11-IJU

1¢
$0$0

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1120.7%
11238.0%
Adj IY
4658%
3
LAS
0.17

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.