Will stupid song be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 11, 2026: stupid song · KXTOPSONG-26JUL11
Will stupid song be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 11, 2026: stupid song is priced at 5¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 5¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 16 inside KXTOPSONG-26JUL11.
Price history
5¢ current
+4¢Contract brief
If stupid song is #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jul 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will stupid song be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 11, 2026: stupid song
Rank
#2 of 16
Leader
Will Choosin' Texas be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 11, 2026: Choosin' Texas 76¢
Range
1¢-76¢
Family volume
$113
Identifier
KXTOPSONG-26JUL11-STU
Jun 25, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 25m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
5¢
Spread
5¢
24h volume
$94
Family rank
#2 of 16
16 outcomes · KXTOPSONG-26JUL11
Closes
Jul 6, 2026
Family volume
$113
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 5¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If stupid song is #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jul 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 6, 2026
Identifier
KXTOPSONG-26JUL11-STU
Event family
KXTOPSONG-26JUL11.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$113
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Will Choosin' Texas be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 11, 2026: Choosin' Texas 76¢
Current share
83%
Will Choosin' Texas be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 11, 2026: Choosin' Texas
kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26JUL11-CHO
Will stupid song be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 11, 2026: stupid song
kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26JUL11-STU
Will I Knew It, I Knew You be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 11, 2026: I Knew It, I Knew You
kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26JUL11-IKN
Will begged be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 11, 2026: begged
kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26JUL11-BEG
Will BE HER be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 11, 2026: BE HER
kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26JUL11-BEH
Will Billie Jean be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 11, 2026: Billie Jean
kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26JUL11-BIL
Will Boston be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 11, 2026: Boston
kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26JUL11-BOS
Will drop dead be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 11, 2026: drop dead
kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26JUL11-DRO
Will EARRINGS be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 11, 2026: EARRINGS
kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26JUL11-EAR
Will expectations be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 11, 2026: expectations
kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26JUL11-EXP
Will hate that i made you love me be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 11, 2026: hate that i made you love me
kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26JUL11-HAT
Will honeybee be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 11, 2026: honeybee
kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26JUL11-HON
Will I CAN'T LOVE YOU ANYMORE be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 11, 2026: I CAN'T LOVE YOU ANYMORE
kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26JUL11-ICA
Will I Just Might be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 11, 2026: I Just Might
kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26JUL11-IJU
Will Janice STFU be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 11, 2026: Janice STFU
kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26JUL11-JAN
Will maggots for brains be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 11, 2026: maggots for brains
kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26JUL11-MAG
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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World State API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.