SimpleFunctions

Clear Secure Inc. report Above 8.2 million active clear plus members in Q2 2026

Above 8.2 million is priced at 92¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 89¢ bid, 93¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 6 inside Will Clear Secure Inc. report Above 8.

Price history

92¢ current

+12¢
80¢90¢
Jun 4, 2026Jun 26, 2026

Contract brief

If Clear Secure Inc. reports Above 8200000 active clear plus members in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 8.2 million

Rank

#1 of 6

Leader

Above 8.2 million 89¢

Range

4¢-89¢

Family volume

$200

Identifier

KXYOU-26AUGMEM-8199999.999999999

Jun 26, 2026, 10:08 AM UTC · 30m ago

Implied probability

92¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 26, 2026, 10:08 AM UTC · 30m ago

Bid

89¢

Ask

93¢

Spread

Reported volume

$3K

Family rank

#1 of 6

6 outcomes · Will Clear Secure Inc. report Above 8

Closes

Sep 3, 2026

Family volume

$200

Orderbook snapshot

89 / 93¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
89¢37
88¢200
77¢46
76¢200
75¢500
AskSize
93¢10
94¢500
95¢595
97¢1.2K
98¢2.0K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Clear Secure Inc. reports Above 8200000 active clear plus members in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 3, 2026

Identifier

KXYOU-26AUGMEM-8199999.999999999

SF Signal
SF Index
4280.35
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will Clear Secure Inc. report Above 8.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$200

Outcomes

6

Highest price

Above 8.2 million 89¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

65.4%

IY (No)

4280.3%

Adj IY

4280%

CRI

8

RV

89%

VR

1.10

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

65.4%
4280.3%
Adj IY
4280%
8
RV
89%
VR
1.10
IAR
0.3/h
Overround
1.5%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.