SimpleFunctions

Cleveland · KXRECORDNFLWORST-27

Cleveland is priced at 10¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 8¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 16 inside KXRECORDNFLWORST-27.

Price history

10¢ current

+2¢
5¢10¢
Jul 27, 2026Aug 26, 2026

Contract brief

If Cleveland has the worst regular season record in Pro Football in the 2026-27 Pro Football Season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Cleveland

Rank

#3 of 16

Leader

Arizona 24¢

Range

1¢-24¢

Family volume

$7K

Identifier

KXRECORDNFLWORST-27-CLE

Aug 27, 2026, 12:08 AM UTC · 1h ago

Implied probability

10¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 27, 2026, 12:08 AM UTC · 1h ago

Bid

Ask

10¢

Spread

24h volume

$2K

Family rank

#3 of 16

16 outcomes · KXRECORDNFLWORST-27

Closes

Feb 22, 2027

Family volume

$7K

Orderbook snapshot

8 / 10¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
8¢143
7¢4.1K
6¢1.1K
5¢126
4¢595
AskSize
10¢9.1K
11¢7.5K
12¢212
18¢10
22¢9

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Cleveland has the worst regular season record in Pro Football in the 2026-27 Pro Football Season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 22, 2027

Identifier

KXRECORDNFLWORST-27-CLE

SF Signal
SF Index
876.33
Regime
taker

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2336.9%

IY (No)

17.7%

Adj IY

876%

CRI

12

Overround

-0.2%

LAS

0.25

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

2336.9%
17.7%
Adj IY
876%
12
Overround
-0.2%
LAS
0.25

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.