SimpleFunctions

Cleveland · KXNBASUMMERGAME-26JUL10CLEIND

Cleveland is priced at 69¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 49¢ bid, 79¢ ask, 30¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXNBASUMMERGAME-26JUL10CLEIND.

Price history

69¢ current

+66¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
Jul 5, 2026Jul 9, 2026

Contract brief

If Cleveland wins the Cleveland vs Indiana Pro Basketball Summer League game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Cleveland

Rank

#1 of 2

Leader

Cleveland 49¢

Range

20¢-49¢

Family volume

$18

Identifier

KXNBASUMMERGAME-26JUL10CLEIND-CLE

Jul 9, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC · 54m ago

Implied probability

69¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 9, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC · 54m ago

Bid

49¢

Ask

79¢

Spread

30¢

24h volume

$18

Family rank

#1 of 2

2 outcomes · KXNBASUMMERGAME-26JUL10CLEIND

Closes

Jul 24, 2026

Family volume

$18

Orderbook snapshot

49 / 79¢

Kalshi
30¢ spread
BidSize
49¢9
30¢10
29¢42
28¢800
5¢1.9K
AskSize
79¢10
80¢40
81¢757
82¢800
83¢47

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Cleveland wins the Cleveland vs Indiana Pro Basketball Summer League game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 24, 2026

Identifier

KXNBASUMMERGAME-26JUL10CLEIND-CLE

SF Signal
SF Index
5783.20
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXNBASUMMERGAME-26JUL10CLEIND.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$18

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Cleveland 49¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

5783.2%

IY (No)

964.8%

Adj IY

5783%

CRI

2

RV

6139%

VR

3.43

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

5783.2%
964.8%
Adj IY
5783%
2
RV
6139%
VR
3.43
IAR
0.8/h

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.