SimpleFunctions

Cleveland · KXNFLGAME-26SEP13CLEJAC

Cleveland is priced at 31¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 26¢ bid, 33¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXNFLGAME-26SEP13CLEJAC.

Price history

31¢ current

+7¢
20¢30¢
May 16, 2026May 24, 2026

Contract brief

If Cleveland wins the Cleveland vs Jacksonville professional football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Cleveland

Rank

#2 of 2

Leader

Jacksonville 69¢

Range

26¢-69¢

Family volume

$40

Identifier

KXNFLGAME-26SEP13CLEJAC-CLE

May 24, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 6m ago

Implied probability

31¢
Latest venue quote
May 24, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 6m ago

Bid

26¢

Ask

33¢

Spread

24h volume

$21

Family rank

#2 of 2

2 outcomes · KXNFLGAME-26SEP13CLEJAC

Closes

Sep 15, 2026

Family volume

$40

Orderbook snapshot

26 / 33¢

Kalshi
7¢ spread
BidSize
26¢4
25¢221
23¢800
16¢763
15¢500
AskSize
33¢1
34¢100
35¢598
36¢1.5K
37¢5.0K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Cleveland wins the Cleveland vs Jacksonville professional football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 15, 2026

Identifier

KXNFLGAME-26SEP13CLEJAC-CLE

SF Signal
SF Index
455.99
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXNFLGAME-26SEP13CLEJAC.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$40

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Jacksonville 69¢

Current share

54%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

912.0%
112.6%
Adj IY
456%
3

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.