SimpleFunctions

Cleveland · KXNFLGAME-26SEP13CLEJAC

Cleveland is priced at 26¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 24¢ bid, 26¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXNFLGAME-26SEP13CLEJAC.

Price history

26¢ current

+1¢
20¢25¢30¢
Jun 13, 2026Jul 13, 2026

Contract brief

If Cleveland wins the Cleveland vs Jacksonville professional football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Cleveland

Rank

#2 of 2

Leader

Jacksonville 75¢

Range

24¢-75¢

Family volume

$29

Identifier

KXNFLGAME-26SEP13CLEJAC-CLE

Jul 13, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC · 7m ago

Implied probability

26¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 13, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC · 7m ago

Bid

24¢

Ask

26¢

Spread

Reported volume

$2K

Family rank

#2 of 2

2 outcomes · KXNFLGAME-26SEP13CLEJAC

Closes

Sep 15, 2026

Family volume

$29

Orderbook snapshot

24 / 26¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
24¢1
23¢483
22¢80
21¢722
19¢3
AskSize
26¢228
27¢222
28¢297
30¢4
33¢94

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Cleveland wins the Cleveland vs Jacksonville professional football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 15, 2026

Identifier

KXNFLGAME-26SEP13CLEJAC-CLE

SF Signal
SF Index
896.66
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXNFLGAME-26SEP13CLEJAC.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$29

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Jacksonville 75¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1793.3%
178.8%
Adj IY
897%
3

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.