Coldplay · KX1ALBUM-26DEC
Coldplay is priced at 22¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 10¢ bid, 15¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #12 of 16 inside KX1ALBUM-26DEC.
Price history
22¢ current
+12¢Contract brief
If Coldplay has a #1 album on the Billboard 200 by Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Coldplay
Rank
#12 of 16
Leader
Future 99¢
Range
1¢-99¢
Family volume
$5K
Identifier
KX1ALBUM-26DEC-COL
Jul 18, 2026, 10:08 AM UTC · 18m ago
Implied probability
Bid
10¢
Ask
15¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$23
Family rank
#12 of 16
16 outcomes · KX1ALBUM-26DEC
Closes
Dec 27, 2026
Family volume
$5K
Orderbook snapshot
10 / 15¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Coldplay has a #1 album on the Billboard 200 by Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 27, 2026
Identifier
KX1ALBUM-26DEC-COL
Event family
KX1ALBUM-26DEC.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$5K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Future 99¢
Current share
0%
Future
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-FUT
Gracie Abrams
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-GRA
Ariana Grande
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-ARI
Stray Kids
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-STR
Post Malone
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-POS
KATSEYE
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-KAT
Charli xcx
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-XCX
Kendrick Lamar
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-KEN
Sabrina Carpenter
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-SAB
Justin Bieber
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-JUS
Lady Gaga
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-LAD
Coldplay
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-COL
Billie Eilish
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-BIL
Lola Young
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-LOL
NF
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-NF
21 Savage
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-21S
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.