Before Jan 20, 2029 · Will Congress
Before Jan 20, 2029 is priced at 25¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 27¢ bid, 33¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside Will Congress.
Price history
25¢ current
−1¢Contract brief
If Congress successfully overrides a presidential veto before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before Jan 20, 2029
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Before Jan 20, 2029 27¢
Range
12¢-27¢
Family volume
$3
Identifier
KXVETOOVERRIDE-29JAN20
May 24, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC · 20m ago
Implied probability
Bid
27¢
Ask
33¢
Spread
6¢
Reported volume
$14K
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · Will Congress
Closes
Jan 20, 2029
Family volume
$3
Orderbook snapshot
27 / 33¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Congress successfully overrides a presidential veto before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 20, 2029
Identifier
KXVETOOVERRIDE-29JAN20
Event family
Will Congress.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$3
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Before Jan 20, 2029 27¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.