Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers
Above 304ㅤ is priced at 99¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 95¢ bid, 99¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 15 inside Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 3.
Price history
99¢ current
+9¢Contract brief
If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026 is above 304ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 304ㅤ
Rank
#1 of 15
Leader
Above 304ㅤ 95¢
Range
5¢-95¢
Family volume
$25
Identifier
KXAIRFARECPI-26AUG12-T304
Jul 26, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC · 12m ago
Implied probability
Bid
95¢
Ask
99¢
Spread
4¢
24h volume
$25
Family rank
#1 of 15
15 outcomes · Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 3
Closes
Aug 12, 2026
Family volume
$25
Orderbook snapshot
95 / 99¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026 is above 304ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 12, 2026
Identifier
KXAIRFARECPI-26AUG12-T304
Event family
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 3.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$25
Outcomes
15
Highest price
Above 304ㅤ 95¢
Current share
100%
Above 304ㅤ
kalshi · KXAIRFARECPI-26AUG12-T304
Above 305ㅤ
kalshi · KXAIRFARECPI-26AUG12-T305
Above 306ㅤ
kalshi · KXAIRFARECPI-26AUG12-T306
Above 307ㅤ
kalshi · KXAIRFARECPI-26AUG12-T307
Above 308ㅤ
kalshi · KXAIRFARECPI-26AUG12-T308
Above 309ㅤ
kalshi · KXAIRFARECPI-26AUG12-T309
Above 312ㅤ
kalshi · KXAIRFARECPI-26AUG12-T312
Above 310ㅤ
kalshi · KXAIRFARECPI-26AUG12-T310
Above 314ㅤ
kalshi · KXAIRFARECPI-26AUG12-T314
Above 315ㅤ
kalshi · KXAIRFARECPI-26AUG12-T315
Above 316ㅤ
kalshi · KXAIRFARECPI-26AUG12-T316
Above 317ㅤ
kalshi · KXAIRFARECPI-26AUG12-T317
Above 311ㅤ
kalshi · KXAIRFARECPI-26AUG12-T311
Above 318ㅤ
kalshi · KXAIRFARECPI-26AUG12-T318
Above 313ㅤ
kalshi · KXAIRFARECPI-26AUG12-T313
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 99% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.