SimpleFunctions

Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers

Above 311ㅤ is priced at 59¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 15¢ bid, 97¢ ask, 82¢ spread. This outcome ranks #13 of 15 inside Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 3.

Price history

59¢ current

30¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
Jul 16, 2026Jul 26, 2026

Contract brief

If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026 is above 311ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 311ㅤ

Rank

#13 of 15

Leader

Above 304ㅤ 95¢

Range

5¢-95¢

Family volume

$25

Identifier

KXAIRFARECPI-26AUG12-T311

Jul 26, 2026, 4:38 AM UTC · 13m ago

Implied probability

59¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 26, 2026, 4:38 AM UTC · 13m ago

Bid

15¢

Ask

97¢

Spread

82¢

Reported volume

$589

Family rank

#13 of 15

15 outcomes · Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026 be above 3

Closes

Aug 12, 2026

Family volume

$25

Orderbook snapshot

15 / 97¢

Kalshi
82¢ spread
BidSize
15¢25
14¢5
AskSize
97¢82
99¢25

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for July 2026 is above 311ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 12, 2026

Identifier

KXAIRFARECPI-26AUG12-T311

SF Signal
SF Index
11937.05
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

11937.1%

IY (No)

371.7%

Adj IY

11937%

CRI

6

RV

12890%

VR

0.97

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

11937.1%
371.7%
Adj IY
11937%
6
RV
12890%
VR
0.97
IAR
0.5/h
Overround
7.3%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.