SimpleFunctions

Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers

Above 308.0ㅤ is priced at 53¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 16¢ bid, 97¢ ask, 81¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 11 inside Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above.

Price history

53¢ current

20¢
25¢50¢75¢
Jun 10, 2026Jun 23, 2026

Contract brief

If the United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 is above 308.0ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 308.0ㅤ

Rank

#4 of 11

Leader

Above 300.0ㅤ 84¢

Range

4¢-84¢

Family volume

$111

Identifier

KXAIRFARECPI-26JUL14-T308.0

Jun 24, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 26m ago

Implied probability

53¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 24, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 26m ago

Bid

16¢

Ask

97¢

Spread

81¢

Reported volume

$81

Family rank

#4 of 11

11 outcomes · Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 be above

Closes

Jul 14, 2026

Family volume

$111

Orderbook snapshot

16 / 97¢

Kalshi
81¢ spread
BidSize
16¢5
15¢500
12¢500
5¢50
4¢1.0K
AskSize
97¢10
99¢25

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for June 2026 is above 308.0ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 14, 2026

Identifier

KXAIRFARECPI-26JUL14-T308.0

SF Signal
SF Index
4904.66
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

9809.3%

IY (No)

355.9%

Adj IY

4905%

CRI

5

Overround

2.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.568

Observability

high

Event type

data_release

Full indicator table

9809.3%
355.9%
Adj IY
4905%
5
Overround
2.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.