Cori Bush · KXMO01D-26
Cori Bush is priced at 34¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 31¢ bid, 33¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXMO01D-26.
Price history
34¢ current
+3¢Contract brief
If Cori Bush wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MO-01 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Cori Bush
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
Wesley Bell 66¢
Range
31¢-66¢
Family volume
$752
Identifier
KXMO01D-26-CBUS
May 28, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC · 30m ago
Implied probability
Bid
31¢
Ask
33¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$709
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · KXMO01D-26
Closes
Nov 3, 2026
Family volume
$752
Orderbook snapshot
31 / 33¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Cori Bush wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MO-01 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2026
Identifier
KXMO01D-26-CBUS
Event family
KXMO01D-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$752
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Wesley Bell 66¢
Current share
94%
Wesley Bell
kalshi · KXMO01D-26-WBEL
Cori Bush
kalshi · KXMO01D-26-CBUS
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 34% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.