Count Binface Party · KXCLACTON2ND-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-2
Count Binface Party is priced at 65¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 63¢ bid, 66¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 15 inside KXCLACTON2ND-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-2.
Price history
65¢ current
+32¢Contract brief
If Count Binface Party finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Clacton by-election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Count Binface Party
Rank
#1 of 15
Leader
Count Binface Party 63¢
Range
1¢-63¢
Family volume
$124
Identifier
KXCLACTON2ND-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-2-BIN
Jul 23, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 2m ago
Implied probability
Bid
63¢
Ask
66¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$124
Family rank
#1 of 15
15 outcomes · KXCLACTON2ND-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-2
Closes
Aug 13, 2027
Family volume
$124
Orderbook snapshot
63 / 66¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Count Binface Party finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Clacton by-election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 13, 2027
Identifier
KXCLACTON2ND-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-2-BIN
Event family
KXCLACTON2ND-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-2.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$124
Outcomes
15
Highest price
Count Binface Party 63¢
Current share
100%
Count Binface Party
kalshi · KXCLACTON2ND-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-2-BIN
Reclaim Party
kalshi · KXCLACTON2ND-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-2-REC
Reform UK
kalshi · KXCLACTON2ND-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-2-REF
Official Monster Raving Loony Party
kalshi · KXCLACTON2ND-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-2-MON
Labour Party
kalshi · KXCLACTON2ND-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-2-LAB
Forward Party
kalshi · KXCLACTON2ND-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-2-FOR
British Democratic Party
kalshi · KXCLACTON2ND-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-2-BRI
Ollie Granger
kalshi · KXCLACTON2ND-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-2-GRA
Luke Worley
kalshi · KXCLACTON2ND-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-2-WOR
Piers Corbyn
kalshi · KXCLACTON2ND-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-2-COR
Conservative Party
kalshi · KXCLACTON2ND-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-2-CON
Heritage Party
kalshi · KXCLACTON2ND-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-2-HER
Climate Party
kalshi · KXCLACTON2ND-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-2-CLI
Rejoin EU
kalshi · KXCLACTON2ND-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-2-REU
Tony Mack
kalshi · KXCLACTON2ND-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-2-TON
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.