Dallas win at least 1 game in the first 8 weeks
Dallas: 1+ wins in first 8 weeks is priced at 97¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 95¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8.
Price history
97¢ current
+4¢Contract brief
If the Dallas Pro Football wins at least 1 game in the first 8 weeks of the Pro Football season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Dallas: 1+ wins in first 8 weeks
Rank
#1 of 16
Leader
Dallas: 1+ wins in first 8 weeks 95¢
Range
2¢-95¢
Family volume
$90
Identifier
KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-DAL1
Aug 27, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 34m ago
Implied probability
Bid
95¢
Ask
98¢
Spread
3¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#1 of 16
16 outcomes · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8
Closes
Nov 10, 2026
Family volume
$90
Orderbook snapshot
95 / 98¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Dallas Pro Football wins at least 1 game in the first 8 weeks of the Pro Football season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 10, 2026
Identifier
KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-DAL1
Event family
KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$90
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Dallas: 1+ wins in first 8 weeks 95¢
Current share
0%
Dallas: 1+ wins in first 8 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-DAL1
Baltimore: 1+ wins in first 8 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-BAL1
Atlanta: 1+ wins in first 8 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-ATL1
Atlanta: 2+ wins in first 8 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-ATL2
Las Vegas: 2+ wins in first 8 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-LV2
Arizona: 1+ wins in first 8 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-ARI1
Atlanta: 3+ wins in first 8 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-ATL3
Las Vegas: 3+ wins in first 8 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-LV3
Cleveland: 3+ wins in first 8 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-CLE3
Arizona: 2+ wins in first 8 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-ARI2
Indianapolis: 4+ wins in first 8 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-IND4
Atlanta: 4+ wins in first 8 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-ATL4
Arizona: 3+ wins in first 8 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-ARI3
Atlanta: 5+ wins in first 8 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-ATL5
Arizona: 4+ wins in first 8 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-ARI4
Atlanta: 6+ wins in first 8 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-ATL6
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.