Las Vegas win at least 3 games in the first 8 weeks
Las Vegas: 3+ wins in first 8 weeks is priced at 56¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 51¢ bid, 63¢ ask, 12¢ spread. This outcome ranks #12 of 16 inside KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8.
Price history
56¢ current
+2¢Contract brief
If the Las Vegas Pro Football wins at least 3 games in the first 8 weeks of the Pro Football season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Las Vegas: 3+ wins in first 8 weeks
Rank
#12 of 16
Leader
Los Angeles R: 2+ wins in first 8 weeks 94¢
Range
39¢-94¢
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-LV3
Aug 25, 2026, 4:38 AM UTC · 15m ago
Implied probability
Bid
51¢
Ask
63¢
Spread
12¢
Reported volume
$26
Family rank
#12 of 16
16 outcomes · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8
Closes
Nov 10, 2026
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
51 / 63¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Las Vegas Pro Football wins at least 3 games in the first 8 weeks of the Pro Football season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 10, 2026
Identifier
KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-LV3
Event family
KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Los Angeles R: 2+ wins in first 8 weeks 94¢
Current share
0%
Los Angeles R: 2+ wins in first 8 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-LAR2
Tampa Bay: 1+ wins in first 8 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-TB1
Baltimore: 2+ wins in first 8 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-BAL2
Cincinnati: 1+ wins in first 8 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-CIN1
Green Bay: 2+ wins in first 8 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-GB2
Seattle: 2+ wins in first 8 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-SEA2
Cleveland: 1+ wins in first 8 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-CLE1
Arizona: 1+ wins in first 8 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-ARI1
Pittsburgh: 4+ wins in first 8 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-PIT4
Buffalo: 4+ wins in first 8 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-BUF4
Green Bay: 5+ wins in first 8 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-GB5
Detroit: 5+ wins in first 8 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-DET5
Las Vegas: 3+ wins in first 8 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-LV3
Atlanta: 3+ wins in first 8 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-ATL3
Pittsburgh: 5+ wins in first 8 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-PIT5
Arizona: 2+ wins in first 8 weeks
kalshi · KXNFLWINSWEEK-26W8-ARI2
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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World State API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.