SimpleFunctions

Dallas · KXNFLGAME-26SEP13DALNYG

Dallas is priced at 66¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 60¢ bid, 68¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXNFLGAME-26SEP13DALNYG.

Price history

66¢ current

+41¢
25¢50¢
May 15, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Dallas wins the Dallas vs New York G professional football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Dallas

Rank

#1 of 2

Leader

Dallas 56¢

Range

29¢-56¢

Family volume

$126

Identifier

KXNFLGAME-26SEP13DALNYG-DAL

May 28, 2026, 5:38 AM UTC · 14m ago

Implied probability

66¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 5:38 AM UTC · 14m ago

Bid

60¢

Ask

68¢

Spread

24h volume

$51

Family rank

#1 of 2

2 outcomes · KXNFLGAME-26SEP13DALNYG

Closes

Sep 16, 2026

Family volume

$126

Orderbook snapshot

60 / 68¢

Kalshi
8¢ spread
BidSize
60¢10
56¢5
55¢29
54¢116
53¢368
AskSize
68¢30
70¢5
75¢40
77¢305
78¢5

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Dallas wins the Dallas vs New York G professional football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 16, 2026

Identifier

KXNFLGAME-26SEP13DALNYG-DAL

SF Signal
SF Index
474.14
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXNFLGAME-26SEP13DALNYG.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$126

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Dallas 56¢

Current share

41%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

229.0%

IY (No)

474.1%

Adj IY

474%

CRI

1

RV

564%

VR

3.64

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

229.0%
474.1%
Adj IY
474%
1
RV
564%
VR
3.64
IAR
1.2/h

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.