Daniel Gafford · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12
Daniel Gafford is priced at 41¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 41¢ bid, 49¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 16 inside KXNBATRADE-27FEB12.
Price history
41¢ current
−14¢Contract brief
If Daniel Gafford is traded after Issuance and before Feb 12, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Daniel Gafford
Rank
#4 of 16
Leader
Kawhi Leonard 71¢
Range
2¢-71¢
Family volume
$659
Identifier
KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-DGAFFORD21
Aug 27, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 47m ago
Implied probability
Bid
41¢
Ask
49¢
Spread
8¢
Reported volume
$200
Family rank
#4 of 16
16 outcomes · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12
Closes
Feb 12, 2027
Family volume
$659
Orderbook snapshot
41 / 49¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Daniel Gafford is traded after Issuance and before Feb 12, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Feb 12, 2027
Identifier
KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-DGAFFORD21
Event family
KXNBATRADE-27FEB12.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$659
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Kawhi Leonard 71¢
Current share
0%
Kawhi Leonard
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-KLEONARD2
Jimmy Butler
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-JBUTLER10
Zach LaVine
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-ZLAVINE8
Daniel Gafford
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-DGAFFORD21
Zion Williamson
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-ZWILLIAMSON1
Anthony Davis
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-ADAVIS23
Derrick White
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-DWHITE9
Kevin Durant
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-KDURANT7
Jaden McDaniels
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-JMCDANIELS3
Jalen Suggs
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-JSUGGS4
Joel Embiid
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-JEMBIID21
Evan Mobley
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-EMOBLEY4
Donovan Mitchell
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-DMITCHELL45
Paolo Banchero
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-PBANCHERO5
Nikola Jokić
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-NJOKIC15
Kyrie Irving
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-KIRVING11
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens
Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.
MCP Servers for Prediction Markets: Connect Claude Code to Kalshi and Polymarket
Connect Claude Code, Cursor, or Cline to Kalshi and Polymarket prediction markets via MCP. One-line setup, 18 tools, real-time market data for AI agents.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 41% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.