Danielle Chang · KXDTEMMYS-CULHOST26
Danielle Chang is priced at 11¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 10¢ bid, 13¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 6 inside KXDTEMMYS-CULHOST26.
Price history
11¢ current
+8¢Contract brief
If Danielle Chang wins the award for Outstanding Culinary Host at the 53rd Annual Daytime Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Danielle Chang
Rank
#2 of 6
Leader
Kardea Brown 62¢
Range
1¢-62¢
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
KXDTEMMYS-CULHOST26-DAN
Aug 26, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 26m ago
Implied probability
Bid
10¢
Ask
13¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$1K
Family rank
#2 of 6
6 outcomes · KXDTEMMYS-CULHOST26
Closes
Oct 31, 2027
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
10 / 13¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Danielle Chang wins the award for Outstanding Culinary Host at the 53rd Annual Daytime Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 31, 2027
Identifier
KXDTEMMYS-CULHOST26-DAN
Event family
KXDTEMMYS-CULHOST26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Kardea Brown 62¢
Current share
100%
Kardea Brown
kalshi · KXDTEMMYS-CULHOST26-KAR
Danielle Chang
kalshi · KXDTEMMYS-CULHOST26-DAN
Ina Garten
kalshi · KXDTEMMYS-CULHOST26-INA
Pati Jinich
kalshi · KXDTEMMYS-CULHOST26-PAT
Andrew Zimmern
kalshi · KXDTEMMYS-CULHOST26-AND
Tie
kalshi · KXDTEMMYS-CULHOST26-TIE
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
MCP Servers for Prediction Markets: Connect Claude Code to Kalshi and Polymarket
Connect Claude Code, Cursor, or Cline to Kalshi and Polymarket prediction markets via MCP. One-line setup, 18 tools, real-time market data for AI agents.
How to Scan Prediction Market Orderbooks: Spread, Depth, and Liquidity Analysis
Practical guide to analyzing orderbook data from Kalshi and Polymarket. Learn spread, depth, liquidity scoring, and executable edge calculation.
Reading Prediction Market Orderbooks: Liquidity, Spread, and When to Enter
How to read prediction market orderbooks on Kalshi. Covers bid-ask spread analysis, liquidity scoring, executable edge calculation, and when thin markets are opportunities vs traps.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 11% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.