SimpleFunctions

Daughter From Hell by Gracie Abrams have above 150000 Album Equivalent Units during the July 17, 2026 - July 23, 2026 tracking week

Above 150K is priced at 51¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 53¢ bid, 58¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #15 of 15 inside Will Daughter From Hell by Gracie Abrams have above.

Price history

51¢ current

+49¢
0¢25¢50¢
May 13, 2026May 27, 2026

Contract brief

If Daughter From Hell by Gracie Abrams has above 150K Album Equivalent Units during the July 17, 2026 - July 23, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 150K

Rank

#15 of 15

Leader

Above 20K 99¢

Range

53¢-99¢

Family volume

$538

Identifier

KXALBUMEQUIV-DAU26JUL23B-150K

May 27, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 16m ago

Implied probability

51¢
Latest venue quote
May 27, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 16m ago

Bid

53¢

Ask

58¢

Spread

24h volume

$142

Family rank

#15 of 15

15 outcomes · Will Daughter From Hell by Gracie Abrams have above

Closes

Jul 26, 2026

Family volume

$538

Orderbook snapshot

53 / 58¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
53¢5
52¢200
50¢1
48¢41
22¢353
AskSize
58¢205
65¢40
81¢9
82¢344
86¢31

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Daughter From Hell by Gracie Abrams has above 150K Album Equivalent Units during the July 17, 2026 - July 23, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 26, 2026

Identifier

KXALBUMEQUIV-DAU26JUL23B-150K

SF Signal
SF Index
341.25
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

Artist Album-Equivalent-Units Forecast Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXALBUMEQUIV series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

536.7%

IY (No)

682.5%

Adj IY

341%

CRI

1

Overround

9.5%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

536.7%
682.5%
Adj IY
341%
1
Overround
9.5%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.