Will Dead Fresh be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 22, 2026: Dead Fresh · KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPSONG-26AUG22
Will Dead Fresh be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 22, 2026: Dead Fresh is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 16 inside KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPSONG-26AUG22.
Price history
1¢ current
Contract brief
If Dead Fresh is #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Aug 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will Dead Fresh be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 22, 2026: Dead Fresh
Rank
#3 of 16
Leader
Will hate that i made you love me be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 22, 2026: hate that i made you love me 48¢
Range
1¢-48¢
Family volume
$557
Identifier
KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPSONG-26AUG22-DEA
Aug 7, 2026, 7:47 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
1¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$50
Family rank
#3 of 16
16 outcomes · KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPSONG-26AUG22
Closes
Aug 17, 2026
Family volume
$557
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 1¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Dead Fresh is #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Aug 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 17, 2026
Identifier
KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPSONG-26AUG22-DEA
Event family
KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPSONG-26AUG22.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$557
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Will hate that i made you love me be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 22, 2026: hate that i made you love me 48¢
Current share
0%
Will hate that i made you love me be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 22, 2026: hate that i made you love me
kalshi · KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPSONG-26AUG22-HAT
Will I Knew It, I Knew You be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 22, 2026: I Knew It, I Knew You
kalshi · KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPSONG-26AUG22-IKN
Will Been By Now be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 22, 2026: Been By Now
kalshi · KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPSONG-26AUG22-BEE
Will Dead Fresh be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 22, 2026: Dead Fresh
kalshi · KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPSONG-26AUG22-DEA
Will BE BY YOU be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 22, 2026: BE BY YOU
kalshi · KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPSONG-26AUG22-BEB
Will BE HER be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 22, 2026: BE HER
kalshi · KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPSONG-26AUG22-BEH
Will Boston be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 22, 2026: Boston
kalshi · KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPSONG-26AUG22-BOS
Will Choosin' Texas be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 22, 2026: Choosin' Texas
kalshi · KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPSONG-26AUG22-CHO
Will Dai Dai be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 22, 2026: Dai Dai
kalshi · KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPSONG-26AUG22-DAI
Will Don't We be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 22, 2026: Don't We
kalshi · KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPSONG-26AUG22-DON
Will I Just Might be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 22, 2026: I Just Might
kalshi · KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPSONG-26AUG22-IJU
Will Janice STFU be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 22, 2026: Janice STFU
kalshi · KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPSONG-26AUG22-JAN
Will Man I Need be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 22, 2026: Man I Need
kalshi · KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPSONG-26AUG22-MAN
Will Midnight Sun be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 22, 2026: Midnight Sun
kalshi · KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPSONG-26AUG22-MID
Will Risk It All be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 22, 2026: Risk It All
kalshi · KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPSONG-26AUG22-RIS
Will So Easy (To Fall In Love) be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 22, 2026: So Easy (To Fall In Love)
kalshi · KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPSONG-26AUG22-SOE
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 1% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.