SimpleFunctions

Will I Just Might be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 22, 2026: I Just Might · KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPSONG-26AUG22

Will I Just Might be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 22, 2026: I Just Might is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 16 inside KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPSONG-26AUG22.

Price history

1¢ current

0¢5¢
Aug 7, 2026Aug 7, 2026

Contract brief

If I Just Might is #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Aug 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Will I Just Might be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 22, 2026: I Just Might

Rank

#3 of 16

Leader

Will hate that i made you love me be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 22, 2026: hate that i made you love me 48¢

Range

1¢-48¢

Family volume

$557

Identifier

KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPSONG-26AUG22-IJU

Aug 7, 2026, 8:12 PM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

1¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 7, 2026, 8:12 PM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

Reported volume

$50

Family rank

#3 of 16

16 outcomes · KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPSONG-26AUG22

Closes

Aug 17, 2026

Family volume

$557

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 1¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
3¢800
4¢200
68¢3.0K
85¢200
100¢750

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If I Just Might is #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Aug 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 17, 2026

Identifier

KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPSONG-26AUG22-IJU

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPSONG-26AUG22.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$557

Outcomes

16

Highest price

Will hate that i made you love me be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 22, 2026: hate that i made you love me 48¢

Current share

0%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Will hate that i made you love me be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 22, 2026: hate that i made you love me

kalshi · KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPSONG-26AUG22-HAT

48¢
$296$296

Will I Knew It, I Knew You be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 22, 2026: I Knew It, I Knew You

kalshi · KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPSONG-26AUG22-IKN

31¢
$58$58

Will Been By Now be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 22, 2026: Been By Now

kalshi · KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPSONG-26AUG22-BEE

1¢
$204$204

Will I Just Might be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 22, 2026: I Just Might

kalshi · KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPSONG-26AUG22-IJU

1¢
$0$0

Will BE BY YOU be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 22, 2026: BE BY YOU

kalshi · KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPSONG-26AUG22-BEB

1¢
$0$0

Will BE HER be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 22, 2026: BE HER

kalshi · KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPSONG-26AUG22-BEH

1¢
$0$0

Will Boston be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 22, 2026: Boston

kalshi · KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPSONG-26AUG22-BOS

1¢
$0$0

Will Choosin' Texas be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 22, 2026: Choosin' Texas

kalshi · KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPSONG-26AUG22-CHO

1¢
$0$0

Will Dai Dai be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 22, 2026: Dai Dai

kalshi · KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPSONG-26AUG22-DAI

1¢
$0$0

Will Dead Fresh be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 22, 2026: Dead Fresh

kalshi · KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPSONG-26AUG22-DEA

1¢
$0$0

Will Don't We be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 22, 2026: Don't We

kalshi · KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPSONG-26AUG22-DON

1¢
$0$0

Will Janice STFU be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 22, 2026: Janice STFU

kalshi · KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPSONG-26AUG22-JAN

1¢
$0$0

Will Man I Need be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 22, 2026: Man I Need

kalshi · KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPSONG-26AUG22-MAN

1¢
$0$0

Will Midnight Sun be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 22, 2026: Midnight Sun

kalshi · KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPSONG-26AUG22-MID

1¢
$0$0

Will Risk It All be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 22, 2026: Risk It All

kalshi · KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPSONG-26AUG22-RIS

1¢
$0$0

Will So Easy (To Fall In Love) be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Aug 22, 2026: So Easy (To Fall In Love)

kalshi · KXBILLBOARDRUNNERUPSONG-26AUG22-SOE

1¢
$0$0

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.