Declan Rice · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ENG
Declan Rice is priced at 18¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 11¢ bid, 57¢ ask, 46¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 11 inside KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ENG.
Price history
18¢ current
+14¢Contract brief
If Declan Rice scores a goal during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Declan Rice
Rank
#4 of 11
Leader
Dan Burn 95¢
Range
2¢-95¢
Family volume
$275
Identifier
KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ENG-DRICE
Jul 12, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC · 4m ago
Implied probability
Bid
11¢
Ask
57¢
Spread
46¢
24h volume
$81
Family rank
#4 of 11
11 outcomes · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ENG
Closes
Jul 27, 2026
Family volume
$275
Orderbook snapshot
11 / 57¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Declan Rice scores a goal during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 27, 2026
Identifier
KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ENG-DRICE
Event family
KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ENG.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$275
Outcomes
11
Highest price
Dan Burn 95¢
Current share
29%
Dan Burn
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ENG-DBURN
Anthony Gordon
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ENG-AGORDON
Bukayo Saka
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ENG-BSAKA
Declan Rice
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ENG-DRICE
Nico O'Reilly
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ENG-NOREILLY
Eberechi Eze
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ENG-EEZE
Marc Guehi
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ENG-MGUEHI
Jordan Henderson
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ENG-JHENDERSON
Jarell Quansah
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ENG-JQUANSAH
Reece James
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ENG-RJAMES
Tino Livramento
kalshi · KXWCPLAYERGOALS-26ENG-TLIVRAMENTO
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.