SimpleFunctions

Jessica Killin · KXHOUSERACE-CO05-26

Jessica Killin is priced at 24¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 24¢ bid, 25¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXHOUSERACE-CO05-26.

Price history

24¢ current

20¢25¢
Jun 28, 2026Jul 6, 2026

Contract brief

If the House member sworn in for CO-05 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Jessica Killin

Rank

#2 of 2

Leader

Jeff Crank 77¢

Range

24¢-77¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXHOUSERACE-CO05-26-D

Jul 24, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC · 29m ago

Implied probability

24¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 24, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC · 29m ago

Bid

24¢

Ask

25¢

Spread

Reported volume

$5K

Family rank

#2 of 2

2 outcomes · KXHOUSERACE-CO05-26

Closes

Nov 3, 2027

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

24 / 25¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
24¢417
20¢250
19¢500
4¢1.5K
4¢600
AskSize
25¢937
42¢500
50¢208
59¢32
60¢49

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the House member sworn in for CO-05 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 3, 2027

Identifier

KXHOUSERACE-CO05-26-D

SF Signal
SF Index
123.67
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXHOUSERACE-CO05-26.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Jeff Crank 77¢

Current share

Browse this series

2026 U.S. House Race Winner Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXHOUSERACE series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Full indicator table

247.3%
24.7%
Adj IY
124%
3

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Opinionanalysis

Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens

Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.

Blogtech

MCP Servers for Prediction Markets: Connect Claude Code to Kalshi and Polymarket

Connect Claude Code, Cursor, or Cline to Kalshi and Polymarket prediction markets via MCP. One-line setup, 18 tools, real-time market data for AI agents.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.