SimpleFunctions

Denver · KXNBASUMMERGAME-26JUL11DENMIN

Denver is priced at 50¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 15¢ bid, 85¢ ask, 70¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXNBASUMMERGAME-26JUL11DENMIN.

Price history

50¢ current

+47¢
0¢25¢50¢
Jul 6, 2026Jul 9, 2026

Contract brief

If Denver wins the Denver vs Minnesota Pro Basketball Summer League game originally scheduled for Jul 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Denver

Rank

#1 of 2

Leader

Denver 15¢

Range

15¢-15¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXNBASUMMERGAME-26JUL11DENMIN-DEN

Jul 9, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 26m ago

Implied probability

50¢
Bid/ask midpoint
Jul 9, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 26m ago

Bid

15¢

Ask

85¢

Spread

70¢

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#1 of 2

2 outcomes · KXNBASUMMERGAME-26JUL11DENMIN

Closes

Jul 25, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

15 / 85¢

Kalshi
70¢ spread
BidSize
100¢11K
15¢10
14¢300
2¢891
AskSize
85¢555
86¢200
93¢83
95¢133
97¢222

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Denver wins the Denver vs Minnesota Pro Basketball Summer League game originally scheduled for Jul 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 25, 2026

Identifier

KXNBASUMMERGAME-26JUL11DENMIN-DEN

SF Signal
SF Index
12914.98
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXNBASUMMERGAME-26JUL11DENMIN.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Denver 15¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

12915.0%

IY (No)

402.2%

Adj IY

12915%

CRI

6

RV

6642%

VR

2.23

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

12915.0%
402.2%
Adj IY
12915%
6
RV
6642%
VR
2.23
IAR
0.9/h

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.