Before the 2027-28 season · Will Derrick Henry announce his retirement before the 202
Before the 2027-28 season is priced at 13¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 9¢ bid, 17¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 3 inside Will Derrick Henry announce his retirement before the 202.
Price history
13¢ current
+12¢Contract brief
If Derrick Henry announces his retirement from the NFL before the 2027-28 NFL season start date, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before the 2027-28 season
Rank
#3 of 3
Leader
Before the 2029-30 season 66¢
Range
9¢-66¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXNFLRETIRE-DHENRY22-2728
Sep 14, 2026, 3:38 PM UTC · 9m ago
Implied probability
Bid
9¢
Ask
17¢
Spread
8¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#3 of 3
3 outcomes · Will Derrick Henry announce his retirement before the 202
Closes
Sep 30, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
9 / 17¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Derrick Henry announces his retirement from the NFL before the 2027-28 NFL season start date, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 30, 2027
Identifier
KXNFLRETIRE-DHENRY22-2728
Event family
Will Derrick Henry announce his retirement before the 202.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Before the 2029-30 season 66¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.