SimpleFunctions

Derrick Henry · KXLEADERNFLRUSHYDS-27

Derrick Henry is priced at 13¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 12¢ bid, 30¢ ask, 18¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside KXLEADERNFLRUSHYDS-27.

Price history

13¢ current

+9¢
0¢10¢
Jun 21, 2026Jul 11, 2026

Contract brief

If Derrick Henry leads Pro Football in rushing yards for the 2026-2027 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Derrick Henry

Rank

#1 of 16

Leader

Derrick Henry 12¢

Range

1¢-12¢

Family volume

$2K

Identifier

KXLEADERNFLRUSHYDS-27-DHENRY22

Jul 12, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 7h ago

Implied probability

13¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 12, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 7h ago

Bid

12¢

Ask

30¢

Spread

18¢

24h volume

$752

Family rank

#1 of 16

16 outcomes · KXLEADERNFLRUSHYDS-27

Closes

Feb 8, 2027

Family volume

$2K

Orderbook snapshot

12 / 30¢

Kalshi
18¢ spread
BidSize
12¢716
11¢1
5¢50
4¢1.0K
2¢1.2K
AskSize
30¢5
31¢497
32¢500
33¢500
37¢18

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Derrick Henry leads Pro Football in rushing yards for the 2026-2027 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 8, 2027

Identifier

KXLEADERNFLRUSHYDS-27-DHENRY22

SF Signal
SF Index
632.93
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1265.9%

IY (No)

23.5%

Adj IY

633%

CRI

7

Overround

-0.4%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1265.9%
23.5%
Adj IY
633%
7
Overround
-0.4%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.