Will Jonathan Taylor lead Pro Football in rushing yards for the 2026-2027 regular season
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 7% across 11 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
7%
11 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$3K
11 contracts
Closes
Feb 8, 2027
144 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
11 clusters across 11 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Cluster 1
Will De'Von Achane lead Pro Football in rushing yards for the 2026-2027 regular season
Cluster 2
Will Ashton Jeanty lead Pro Football in rushing yards for the 2026-2027 regular season
Cluster 3
Will Kenneth Walker III lead Pro Football in rushing yards for the 2026-2027 regular season
Cluster 4
Will Jonathan Taylor lead Pro Football in rushing yards for the 2026-2027 regular season
Cluster 5
Will Derrick Henry lead Pro Football in rushing yards for the 2026-2027 regular season
Cluster 6
Will Bijan Robinson lead Pro Football in rushing yards for the 2026-2027 regular season
Cluster 7
Will Jahmyr Gibbs lead Pro Football in rushing yards for the 2026-2027 regular season
Cluster 8
Will Saquon Barkley lead Pro Football in rushing yards for the 2026-2027 regular season
Cluster 9
Will Javonte Williams lead Pro Football in rushing yards for the 2026-2027 regular season
Cluster 10
Will James Cook III lead Pro Football in rushing yards for the 2026-2027 regular season
Cluster 11
Will Omarion Hampton lead Pro Football in rushing yards for the 2026-2027 regular season
Analysis
This contracts asks whether Jonathan Taylor will finish the 2026-2027 NFL regular season with more rushing yards than all other running backs. The 7% probability reflects that Taylor faces strong competition from younger, more recently productive rushers. The primary factors influencing this outcome are Taylor's health status and playing time allocation with his current team, alongside the performance trajectories of rival backs. The season's conclusion in early 2027 will definitively resolve the question through official NFL statistics. Market participants appear to view Taylor as a clear underdog relative to established 2026 season competitors like Bijan Robinson, whose contract trades at 13 cents.
- ›Jonathan Taylor's offensive snap count and carries per game through the 2026 regular season compared to 2025 baseline rates
- ›Cumulative rushing yards differential between Taylor and the next closest competitor heading into the final regular season weeks
- ›Injury status of top competitors, particularly Bijan Robinson (13¢ odds), De'Von Achane (4¢), and Derrick Henry (10¢)
- ›Taylor's yards-per-carry average relative to his career performance and whether he maintains efficiency alongside volume
- ›Whether Taylor's team prioritizes a ground-game offensive strategy or shifts toward passing in its play-calling distribution
Recently closed in general
- Will Trump order new or increased tariffs on Canada before Dec 1, 2026last 66% · 4d
- Will Trump order lower tariffs on Canada before Dec 1, 2026last 64% · 4d
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.25last 84% · 6d
- Will PL win the 2026 Brazilian Chamber of Deputies electionslast 48% · 6d
- Will PSD hold 1 seats in all 27 Brazilian governorships (the 26 states and the Federal District), counted together as a single aggregate body for purposes of this Contract after the 2026 Brazilian gubernatorial electionslast 23% · 6d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: just now.