Will Jonathan Taylor lead Pro Football in rushing yards for the 2026-2027 regular season

30-day trend

Analysis

A 5% probability means the market estimates roughly a 1-in-20 chance that Jonathan Taylor finishes the 2026-2027 NFL season with more rushing yards than all other running backs. This low odds reflects both Taylor's current status in the league and competition from younger backs. Key drivers include Taylor's recent injury history and workload compared to more established bell-cow backs like Jahmyr Gibbs and emerging talent like Ashton Jeanty, who commands higher market probability at 6%. The resolution hinges on how teams deploy their running backs throughout the full 17-game regular season, making weekly production data and late-season performance critical. Market estimates suggest bookmakers view other candidates as substantially more likely to lead the league in this statistical category.

• ›Taylor's recent injury history and limited touches relative to lead backs on contending teams
• ›Ashton Jeanty (6¢) and Jahmyr Gibbs (4¢) are assigned higher probabilities, indicating market preference for younger or higher-volume alternatives
• ›The outcome depends entirely on cumulative regular-season rushing yards through all 17 games, resolvable only after the 2026-2027 season concludes
• ›Taylor's current roster situation and projected snap count/workload allocation compared to other league leaders
• ›Competitor running backs' offensive line quality, team passing game strength, and game script tendencies that drive running back opportunity volume

What moved the line

• Jul 8James Cook III↓5pp13→8¢ · Kalshi

Recently closed in general

• Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race before Jul 11, 2026last 96% · 0d
• Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.54% on Jul 6, 2026last 65% · 2d
• Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.19% on Jul 6, 2026last 60% · 2d
• Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.94% on Jul 6, 2026last 86% · 2d
• Will Donald Trump make between 80 and 99 Truth Social posts the week of Apr 19, 2026last 48% · 7d

These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

How we compute these odds