SimpleFunctions

Derrick Henry · KXNFLSEASONRSHYDS-27C1250

Derrick Henry is priced at 65¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 33¢ bid, 80¢ ask, 47¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 16 inside KXNFLSEASONRSHYDS-27C1250.

Price history

65¢ current

+54¢
25¢50¢
Aug 28, 2026Sep 19, 2026

Contract brief

If Derrick Henry records 1250+ rushing yards during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Derrick Henry

Rank

#2 of 16

Leader

Bijan Robinson 67¢

Range

1¢-67¢

Family volume

$1K

Identifier

KXNFLSEASONRSHYDS-27C1250-DHENRY22

Sep 21, 2026, 10:08 AM UTC · 12m ago

Implied probability

65¢
Latest venue quote
Sep 21, 2026, 10:08 AM UTC · 12m ago

Bid

33¢

Ask

80¢

Spread

47¢

Reported volume

$1K

Family rank

#2 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNFLSEASONRSHYDS-27C1250

Closes

Feb 2, 2027

Family volume

$1K

Orderbook snapshot

33 / 80¢

Kalshi
47¢ spread
BidSize
33¢5
32¢2
30¢200
28¢150
24¢150
AskSize
80¢5
82¢5
84¢10
85¢300
95¢46

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Derrick Henry records 1250+ rushing yards during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 2, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLSEASONRSHYDS-27C1250-DHENRY22

SF Signal
SF Index
241.76
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

153.0%

IY (No)

483.5%

Adj IY

242%

CRI

2

Overround

5.5%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

153.0%
483.5%
Adj IY
242%
2
Overround
5.5%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.