SimpleFunctions

DeVonta Smith · KXNFLSEASONRECYDS-27C1250

DeVonta Smith is priced at 27¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 27¢ bid, 33¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 16 inside KXNFLSEASONRECYDS-27C1250.

Price history

27¢ current

+17¢
10¢20¢30¢
Jul 27, 2026Aug 26, 2026

Contract brief

If DeVonta Smith records 1250+ receiving yards during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

DeVonta Smith

Rank

#5 of 16

Leader

Justin Jefferson 45¢

Range

1¢-45¢

Family volume

$672

Identifier

KXNFLSEASONRECYDS-27C1250-DSMITH6

Aug 27, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 4m ago

Implied probability

27¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 27, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 4m ago

Bid

27¢

Ask

33¢

Spread

24h volume

$44

Family rank

#5 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNFLSEASONRECYDS-27C1250

Closes

Feb 2, 2027

Family volume

$672

Orderbook snapshot

27 / 33¢

Kalshi
6¢ spread
BidSize
27¢256
13¢49
12¢90
AskSize
33¢241
34¢292
37¢75
48¢90
51¢75

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If DeVonta Smith records 1250+ receiving yards during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 2, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLSEASONRECYDS-27C1250-DSMITH6

SF Signal
SF Index
618.50
Regime
taker

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

618.5%

IY (No)

84.6%

Adj IY

619%

CRI

3

RV

431%

VR

1.64

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

618.5%
84.6%
Adj IY
619%
3
RV
431%
VR
1.64
IAR
0.8/h
Overround
5.5%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.