Donald Trump make between 120 and 139 Truth Social posts the week of Jun 21, 2026
120-139 is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 1¢ bid, 2¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 9 inside Will Donald Trump make.
Price history
1¢ current
−12¢Contract brief
If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump from Jun 21, 2026 to Jun 27, 2026 is between 120 and 139, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
120-139
Rank
#5 of 9
Leader
180-199 45¢
Range
1¢-45¢
Family volume
$28K
Identifier
KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26JUN27-B129
Jun 25, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
1¢
Ask
2¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$3K
Family rank
#5 of 9
9 outcomes · Will Donald Trump make
Closes
Jun 28, 2026
Family volume
$28K
Orderbook snapshot
1 / 2¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump from Jun 21, 2026 to Jun 27, 2026 is between 120 and 139, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 28, 2026
Identifier
KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26JUN27-B129
Event family
Will Donald Trump make.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$28K
Outcomes
9
Highest price
180-199 45¢
Current share
10%
180-199
kalshi · KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26JUN27-B189
200-220
kalshi · KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26JUN27-B210
160-179
kalshi · KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26JUN27-B169
>220
kalshi · KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26JUN27-T220
140-159
kalshi · KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26JUN27-B149
120-139
kalshi · KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26JUN27-B129
100-119
kalshi · KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26JUN27-B109
<80
kalshi · KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26JUN27-T80
80-99
kalshi · KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26JUN27-B89
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.